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Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice

1.1M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

58.1%

45%65%
Floor58.0%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 58.2%.

Measured over 1.1M games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 2.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.1M games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
1.1M
Best context
61.2% at 1800-1999 Classical
Worst context
54.7% at 0-999 Rapid
Average game length
29 moves
Games that end decisively
97.3%
Draws
2.7%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +16.8% · Breakpoint: Never

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.0% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 58.2% at 0-999, 53.9% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (8,382 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (6,979 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (1,389 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 69.7% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (25,793 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.5% expected score (30,314 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (6,039 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (106 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (46,409 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (74,810 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (16,713 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (217 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 68.4% expected score (167 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (63,417 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (118,246 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (31,431 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (763 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 63.2% expected score (82 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (70,603 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (141,100 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (40,560 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (1,065 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (67,699 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (122,772 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (27,382 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (965 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (42,626 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (60,210 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (12,581 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (169 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (20,219 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (9,808 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (1,734 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (1,937 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (143 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
53.8%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit
54.2%
Scotch Game: Schmidt Variation
47.9%
Scotch Game: Haxo Gambit
55.7%
Analyze Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice scores 58.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 58.0% and 58.2% — from 1.1M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
1.1M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate?

Playing the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice, White wins 56.7%, draws 2.7% and loses 40.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.1%. It rests on 1.1M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice perform best?

The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice performs best for White at 1200-1399, with an Expected Score of 58.6% (138K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 58.1% in Blitz (564K games) against 58.7% in Rapid (138K games).

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice?

The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 55.0%, draws 1.5% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.8%. It rests on 17K Lichess games, which average 22 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 57.4%, draws 1.9% and loses 40.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.4%. It rests on 62K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 57.5%, draws 2.1% and loses 40.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.6%. It rests on 138K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 57.2%, draws 2.3% and loses 40.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.4%. It rests on 214K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 57.2%, draws 2.6% and loses 40.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.5%. It rests on 253K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 56.5%, draws 3.0% and loses 40.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.0%. It rests on 219K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 55.0%, draws 3.6% and loses 41.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.8%. It rests on 116K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 53.6%, draws 4.0% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.6%. It rests on 32K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 51.5%, draws 6.2% and loses 42.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.6%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 65.0%, draws 0.6% and loses 34.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 65.3%. It rests on 421 Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 56.8%, draws 1.9% and loses 41.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.8%. It rests on 347K Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 56.6%, draws 3.0% and loses 40.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.1%. It rests on 564K Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 57.0%, draws 3.4% and loses 39.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.7%. It rests on 138K Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 56.0%, draws 4.1% and loses 39.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.1%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games.

Is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Double Pawn Sacrifice is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 56.7% of its games and loses 40.6%. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.