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Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation

184K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score41.7%Range (90% confident): 41.5% – 41.9%Based on 184K games
0%41.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.5% – 41.9%
Outcome Distribution
40.1%3.1%56.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Bb4
Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation
Analyzen=184K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 41.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 41.5% and 41.9%), based on 184K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.2% win rate (3,967 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.4% win rate (13,628 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.4% win rate (26,352 games)
  • 1400-1599: 39.8% win rate (35,804 games)
  • 1600-1799: 39.6% win rate (37,271 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.3% win rate (32,054 games)
  • 2000-2199: 39.5% win rate (22,602 games)
  • 2200-2499: 39.5% win rate (10,613 games)
  • 2500+: 38.2% win rate (1,256 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (44%), worst in Rapid (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.0% win rate (36 games)
  • Bullet: 40.9% win rate (53,124 games)
  • Blitz: 40.2% win rate (94,368 games)
  • Rapid: 38.7% win rate (34,805 games)
  • Classical: 39.0% win rate (1,214 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (1,556 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (1,853 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (556 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (4,252 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (7,336 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (2,024 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.1% expected score (6,778 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (14,523 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (4,979 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (65 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (7,698 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.2% expected score (19,230 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.4% expected score (8,531 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (336 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 40.8% expected score (8,480 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (19,457 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.6% expected score (8,970 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 39.1% expected score (359 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.2% expected score (8,451 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (16,832 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.7% expected score (6,436 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 39.8% expected score (329 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (8,159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (11,626 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 37.1% expected score (2,708 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.2% expected score (108 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (6,585 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.2% expected score (3,425 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (596 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.2% expected score (1,165 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 34.6% expected score (86 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
53.8%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit
54.2%
Scotch Game: Schmidt Variation
47.9%
Scotch Game: Haxo Gambit
55.7%
Analyze Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate?

The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 56.8% (90% CI: 56.6%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 184K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation perform best?

The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 57.6% win rate for white (36K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (57.5%) outperforms Classical (56.9%) by 0.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation?

The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 56.5% (90% CI: 55.8%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 57.1% (90% CI: 56.6%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 57.6% (90% CI: 57.2%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 57.4% (90% CI: 56.9%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 55.8%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 56.4% (90% CI: 55.8%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 54.9%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 57.0% (90% CI: 54.7%-59.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 56.9% (90% CI: 56.6%-57.3%) win rate for white (53K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 56.4% (90% CI: 56.2%-56.7%) win rate for white (94K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 57.5% (90% CI: 57.1%-57.9%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 56.9% (90% CI: 54.5%-59.2%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Bardeleben Variation is statistically favors white with a 56.8% (90% CI: 56.6%-57.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.