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Analyzer

Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation

2.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.4%Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 54.1%Based on 2.4K games
0%52.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 54.1%
Outcome Distribution
51.2%2.3%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.e5
Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation
Analyzen=2.4K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.3%

What is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.7% and 54.1%), based on 2.4K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +1.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 89.2 · Trap factor: +37.0 · n=2.4K

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 14%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.6% win rate (75 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.2% win rate (147 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.7% win rate (295 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.2% win rate (475 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.0% win rate (586 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.2% win rate (496 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.0% win rate (242 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (69 games)
  • 2500+: 14.3% win rate (2 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (56%), worst in Classical (48%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 56.0% win rate (392 games)
  • Blitz: 51.2% win rate (1,276 games)
  • Rapid: 48.5% win rate (690 games)
  • Classical: 47.5% win rate (29 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 61.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 74.6% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (94 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (176 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (72 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (71 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (232 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (169 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (91 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (293 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (193 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (55 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (281 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (149 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (141 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 69.4% expected score (32 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 36.2% expected score (31 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Alekhine Gambit
43.5%
Scotch Game: Benima Defense
52.7%
Scotch Game: Blumenfeld Attack
64.2%
Scotch Game: Braune Variation
49.0%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Analyze Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation win rate?

The Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation perform best?

The Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.2% win rate for white (475 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.0%) outperforms Rapid (48.5%) by 7.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation?

The Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a sharpness score of 97.7 (very decisive), meaning 97.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-60.9%) win rate for white, based on 147 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 43.0%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 295 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 49.4%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 475 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 586 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 46.5%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 496 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 242 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-60.1%) win rate for white (392 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-53.5%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.4%-51.6%) win rate for white (690 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

Is the Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Cochrane Variation is statistically balanced with a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.