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Scotch Game: Braune Variation

6.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

50.7%

45%55%
Floor49.7%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.7%.

Measured over 6.9K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 6.9K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
6.9K
Best context
51.9% at 1800-1999 Blitz
Worst context
47.6% at 1600-1799 Blitz
Average game length
30 moves
Games that end decisively
96.5%
Draws
3.5%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 45.8% at 0-999, 69.7% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (41 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (103 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (129 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (200 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (116 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (249 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (445 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (195 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (355 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (648 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (269 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 32.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (419 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (883 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (260 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (472 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (723 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (187 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (310 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (326 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (78 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (239 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (101 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 69.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
53.8%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit
54.2%
Scotch Game: Schmidt Variation
47.9%
Scotch Game: Haxo Gambit
55.7%
Analyze Scotch Game: Braune Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation scores 50.7% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.7% and 51.7% — from 6.9K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
6.9K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate?

Playing the Scotch Game: Braune Variation, White wins 49.0%, draws 3.5% and loses 47.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 6.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Braune Variation perform best?

The Scotch Game: Braune Variation performs best for White at 2000-2199, with an Expected Score of 54.5% (717 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Scotch Game: Braune Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 49.6% in Blitz (3.4K games) against 49.7% in Rapid (1.2K games).

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation?

The Scotch Game: Braune Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 44.0%, draws 2.8% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.4%. It rests on 195 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 52.7%, draws 3.0% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 449 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 46.0%, draws 2.5% and loses 51.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 894 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 48.2%, draws 3.3% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 47.5%, draws 3.2% and loses 49.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 1.6K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 49.9%, draws 4.0% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 51.8%, draws 5.2% and loses 42.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.5%. It rests on 717 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 51.7%, draws 3.8% and loses 44.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 357 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 51.5%, draws 3.2% and loses 45.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.1%. It rests on 2.2K Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 47.7%, draws 3.8% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 3.4K Lichess games.

What is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 48.1%, draws 3.2% and loses 48.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

Is the Scotch Game: Braune Variation a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Braune Variation is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 49.0% of its games and loses 47.6%. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.