What is the Rat Defense: English Rat expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 50.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 50.4%), based on 987K Lichess games.
987K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 50.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 50.4%), based on 987K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 50% → 47%
Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Blitz (46%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Rat Defense: English Rat has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 987K rated games from Lichess.
The Rat Defense: English Rat performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (64K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (53.5%) outperforms Blitz (46.4%) by 7.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Rat Defense: English Rat has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 64K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 87K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 112K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 142K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 197K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 45.6% (90% CI: 45.4%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 193K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 131K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.5%-54.4%) win rate for white (7.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.
In Bullet games, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-48.9%) win rate for white (492K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.
In Blitz games, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.5%) win rate for white (416K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.
In Rapid games, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.0%) win rate for white (69K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.
In Classical games, the Rat Defense: English Rat has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.5%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.
The Rat Defense: English Rat is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.