TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit

9.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score48.6%Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 49.5%Based on 9.0K games
0%48.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 49.5%
Outcome Distribution
47.2%2.8%50.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Be6
Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit
Analyzen=9.0K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 48.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.8% and 49.5%), based on 9.0K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 51% → 60%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.6% win rate (223 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.4% win rate (575 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.1% win rate (1,059 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.6% win rate (1,570 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.6% win rate (2,118 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.9% win rate (1,903 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.7% win rate (1,313 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.1% win rate (276 games)
  • 2500+: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (61%), worst in Blitz (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.0% win rate (63 games)
  • Bullet: 47.0% win rate (6,230 games)
  • Blitz: 46.8% win rate (2,180 games)
  • Rapid: 49.8% win rate (528 games)
  • Classical: 61.0% win rate (37 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499———
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (82 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (114 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (275 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (229 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (62 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (591 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (314 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (123 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (938 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (453 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (148 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (1,388 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (605 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (1,419 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (421 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (58 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (1,261 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (43 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (275 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze
50.0%
Rat Defense: Antal Defense
48.5%
Rat Defense: Balogh Defense
51.0%
Rat Defense: English Rat
47.8%
Rat Defense: English Rat, Lisbon Gambit
44.5%
Analyze Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate?

The Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit perform best?

The Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (575 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (49.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (55.0%) by -5.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit?

The Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 45.1%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 223 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 575 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.5%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 45.6% (90% CI: 43.8%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.0%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.4%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 43.2%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 276 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.0%-48.0%) win rate for white (6.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.0%-48.5%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.2%-53.3%) win rate for white (528 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit a good opening?

The Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit is slightly favors black with a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.