What is the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 52.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 52.2%), based on 191K Lichess games.
191K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 52.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 52.2%), based on 191K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 46% → 53%
Similar across time controls (~52%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 191K rated games from Lichess.
The Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (50.9%) outperforms Classical (50.4%) by 0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 45.5% (90% CI: 43.0%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 52.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-54.5%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.
In Bullet games, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.2%) win rate for white (103K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.
In Blitz games, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate for white (74K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
In Rapid games, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.6%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.
In Classical games, the Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze has a 50.4% (90% CI: 46.4%-54.4%) win rate for white (424 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
The Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze is statistically balanced with a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.