TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation

18M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score52.9%Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 52.9%Based on 18M games
0%52.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 52.9%
Outcome Distribution
50.8%4.1%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...Nc6
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation
Analyzen=18M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 52.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.9% and 52.9%), based on 18M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.0% win rate (2,103,110 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.7% win rate (2,660,866 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.3% win rate (3,266,878 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.0% win rate (3,458,200 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.1% win rate (2,965,422 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.5% win rate (2,018,816 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.1% win rate (968,421 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.5% win rate (411,705 games)
  • 2500+: 51.3% win rate (77,554 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.2% win rate (42,140 games)
  • Bullet: 51.9% win rate (4,950,131 games)
  • Blitz: 50.7% win rate (9,003,971 games)
  • Rapid: 49.8% win rate (3,776,568 games)
  • Classical: 49.0% win rate (158,162 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.4% expected score (1,943 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (416,536 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,056,503 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (621,371 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (6,757 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (3,774 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (619,068 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (1,355,103 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (664,605 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 49.7% expected score (18,316 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (5,628 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (789,124 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (1,677,042 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (760,007 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (35,077 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (7,799 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (855,898 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (1,789,854 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (752,698 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (51,951 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (8,555 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (791,196 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (1,558,530 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (574,712 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (32,429 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (9,208 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (668,754 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (1,018,469 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (310,786 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.1% expected score (11,599 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (4,082 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (460,848 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (421,228 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (80,544 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.2% expected score (1,719 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.7% expected score (1,106 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (280,407 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (118,463 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (11,496 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.6% expected score (233 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 65.1% expected score (45 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (68,300 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (8,779 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (349 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (81 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Pawn Game
50.0%
Variations (5)
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System
51.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit
49.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit Accepted
45.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit
49.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated London System, Steinitz Countergambit, Morris Countergambit Accepted
49.8%
Continuations (6)
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Alburt Defense
49.6%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Anti-Veresov
49.9%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Fianchetto Defense
49.5%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Irish Gambit
48.8%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Shaviliuk Gambit
50.0%
Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation, Shropshire Defense
51.1%
Analyze Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.8%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 18M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation perform best?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (412K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (54.2%) outperforms Classical (49.0%) by 5.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.7M Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.3M Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.5M Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.0M Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.0M Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 968K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 412K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 78K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.6%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.9%-51.9%) win rate for white (5.0M Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.7%) win rate for white (9.0M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-49.9%) win rate for white (3.8M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.2%) win rate for white (158K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

Is the Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Pawn Game: Chigorin Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.8%-50.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.