26K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 55.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.5% and 55.5%), based on 26K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 57% → 59%
Best in UltraBullet (65%), worst in Blitz (52%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 26K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 59.4% win rate for white (1.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (55.0%) outperforms Blitz (51.5%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 46.9%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 231 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 50.9%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 830 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.1%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.3%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 59.4% (90% CI: 57.4%-61.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.8%-54.6%) win rate for white (7.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.2%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 53.5%-56.4%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
In Classical games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation has a 59.3% (90% CI: 53.2%-65.4%) win rate for white (173 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.