25K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 54.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.4% and 55.5%), based on 25K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 50% → 58%
Best in Bullet (55%), worst in Classical (45%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 25K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 57.9% win rate for white (2.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (55.4%) outperforms Classical (44.6%) by 10.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 56.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-60.4%) win rate for white, based on 361 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 47.5%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 50.9%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.4%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 57.9% (90% CI: 56.2%-59.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.6%-56.2%) win rate for white (9.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.1%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.3%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.
In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 37.1%-52.2%) win rate for white (114 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.8%.
The Queen's Gambit Declined: Miles Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.