TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense

1.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.9%Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 46.9%Based on 1.4M games
0%46.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 46.9%
Outcome Distribution
44.8%4.1%51.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...c5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense
Analyzen=1.4M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 46.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.8% and 46.9%), based on 1.4M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.1% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~42%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.2% win rate (48,329 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.1% win rate (97,738 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.3% win rate (178,062 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.9% win rate (273,162 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.3% win rate (325,525 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.3% win rate (281,651 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.9% win rate (144,181 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.9% win rate (68,277 games)
  • 2500+: 41.8% win rate (11,749 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (48%), worst in Classical (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.6% win rate (6,583 games)
  • Bullet: 46.7% win rate (616,464 games)
  • Blitz: 43.8% win rate (617,224 games)
  • Rapid: 41.6% win rate (181,596 games)
  • Classical: 35.6% win rate (6,807 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.8% expected score (88 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (15,803 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (22,220 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 40.0% expected score (10,129 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (89 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.6% expected score (304 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (34,019 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (46,901 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (16,143 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (371 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.1% expected score (676 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (62,541 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (85,822 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (27,939 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 36.8% expected score (1,084 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.7% expected score (1,866 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (95,656 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (131,265 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (42,301 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 37.2% expected score (2,074 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.7% expected score (1,967 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (127,547 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (148,000 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (46,021 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (1,990 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.5% expected score (904 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (134,088 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (117,275 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (28,388 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.3% expected score (996 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 49.8% expected score (471 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (88,914 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (45,660 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (8,954 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (182 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 48.8% expected score (279 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (48,895 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (17,443 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (1,640 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 22.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (9,001 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (2,638 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (81 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Continuations (2)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Gusev Countergambit
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense, Haberditz Variation
44.0%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.4M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 54.0% win rate for white (48K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (59.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.9%) by 9.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.4%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 98K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 178K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 273K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 326K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 282K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 144K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 10.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.9%) win rate for white (6.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.2%) win rate for white (616K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.6%) win rate for white (617K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.6%) win rate for white (182K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense has a 59.0% (90% CI: 58.0%-60.0%) win rate for white (6.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Austrian Defense is statistically favors white with a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.