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Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation

3.8M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.9%Range (90% confident): 56.8% – 56.9%Based on 3.8M games
0%56.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.8% – 56.9%
Outcome Distribution
54.9%4.0%41.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.e3
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation
Analyzen=3.8M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 56.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.8% and 56.9%), based on 3.8M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +15.1% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.8% win rate (194,626 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.6% win rate (434,775 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.0% win rate (703,481 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.7% win rate (879,380 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.8% win rate (826,249 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.7% win rate (512,373 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.7% win rate (183,535 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.4% win rate (69,731 games)
  • 2500+: 47.3% win rate (12,959 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (61%), worst in Bullet (54%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.6% win rate (1,740 games)
  • Bullet: 54.1% win rate (878,128 games)
  • Blitz: 54.7% win rate (2,115,905 games)
  • Rapid: 56.1% win rate (788,790 games)
  • Classical: 59.6% win rate (32,546 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (81 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (50,634 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (104,294 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (39,330 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (287 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.4% expected score (197 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (110,846 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (238,546 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (83,819 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (1,367 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 65.6% expected score (352 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (162,729 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (392,809 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (142,992 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (4,599 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 62.6% expected score (562 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (183,602 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (497,874 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (187,529 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.3% expected score (9,813 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (349 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (164,100 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (464,406 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (187,033 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 62.5% expected score (10,361 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.6% expected score (122 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (114,993 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (279,788 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (112,243 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 63.7% expected score (5,227 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 65.0% expected score (52 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (54,770 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (97,658 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (30,259 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (796 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (27,722 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (36,520 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (5,371 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 68.6% expected score (93 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (8,732 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (4,010 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (214 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Accepted
53.1%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Accelerated Mannheim Variation
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense
50.8%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Borisenko-Furman Variation
49.2%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Alekhine Defense, Haberditz Variation
53.0%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubov Defense
52.2%
Continuations (2)
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Billinger Gambit
62.9%
Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation, Christensen Gambit
58.8%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 54.8%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.8M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 56.0% win rate for white (703K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (59.6%) outperforms Bullet (54.1%) by 5.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 195K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 55.6% (90% CI: 55.4%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 435K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.9%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 703K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 55.6%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 879K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.8%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 826K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.6%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 512K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 184K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 70K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 60.6% (90% CI: 58.7%-62.5%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 54.0%-54.2%) win rate for white (878K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.6%-54.8%) win rate for white (2.1M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 56.1% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.1%) win rate for white (789K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation has a 59.6% (90% CI: 59.1%-60.0%) win rate for white (33K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Accepted: Old Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.9% (90% CI: 54.8%-54.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.