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Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit

547K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.0%Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.2%Based on 547K games
0%52.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.2%
Outcome Distribution
50.6%2.8%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...f5
Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit
Analyzen=547K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 52.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.9% and 52.2%), based on 547K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.0% win rate (31,499 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.7% win rate (69,554 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.7% win rate (97,861 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.9% win rate (106,391 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.8% win rate (107,777 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (90,213 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.3% win rate (36,749 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.6% win rate (6,913 games)
  • 2500+: 55.3% win rate (285 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (55%), worst in Bullet (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.3% win rate (559 games)
  • Bullet: 49.2% win rate (173,043 games)
  • Blitz: 50.9% win rate (298,859 games)
  • Rapid: 52.6% win rate (72,673 games)
  • Classical: 54.6% win rate (2,108 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (8,775 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (17,261 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (5,415 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (84 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (17,717 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (39,844 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (11,754 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (155 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (146 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (25,765 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (54,991 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (16,620 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.9% expected score (339 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (216 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (32,759 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (56,861 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (15,893 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.9% expected score (662 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 62.7% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (33,052 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (62,838 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (11,146 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (687 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (31,651 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (49,500 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (8,823 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (225 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (17,820 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (16,059 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (2,837 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 80.6% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (5,227 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (1,497 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (185 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (277 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Philidor Defense
50.2%
Variations (5)
Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit
44.3%
Philidor Defense: Berger Variation
40.3%
Philidor Defense: Bird Gambit
53.3%
Philidor Defense: Boden Variation
49.4%
Philidor Defense: Exchange Variation
50.5%
Analyze Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate?

The Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 547K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit perform best?

The Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.7% win rate for white (70K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (54.6%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.3%) by 3.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit?

The Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 70K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 98K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 106K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 108K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 90K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 55.3% (90% CI: 50.5%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 285 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-54.8%) win rate for white (559 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.4%) win rate for white (173K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.1%) win rate for white (299K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.9%) win rate for white (73K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit has a 54.6% (90% CI: 52.8%-56.4%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

Is the Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit a good opening?

The Philidor Defense: Lopez Countergambit is statistically balanced with a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.