Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation

8.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.1%Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 54.0%Based on 8.2K games
0%53.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 54.0%
Outcome Distribution
51.4%3.3%45.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Ng5
Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation
Analyzen=8.2K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 53.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 54.0%), based on 8.2K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~59%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 59.1% win rate (133 games)
  • 1000-1199: 58.2% win rate (360 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.6% win rate (671 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.1% win rate (855 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.1% win rate (1,292 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (1,990 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.7% win rate (1,673 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.3% win rate (1,081 games)
  • 2500+: 58.4% win rate (174 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (68%), worst in Rapid (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 68.4% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 52.2% win rate (1,884 games)
  • Blitz: 51.1% win rate (4,748 games)
  • Rapid: 51.1% win rate (1,485 games)
  • Classical: 57.3% win rate (104 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 62.0% expected score (74 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 64.1% expected score (229 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (74 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (140 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (331 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (193 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (127 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (437 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (265 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (197 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (744 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (308 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 62.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (346 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (1,262 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (366 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (336 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,126 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (197 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (507 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (514 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (60 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (143 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.5% expected score (31 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate?

The Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation perform best?

The Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 58.2% win rate for white (360 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.2%) outperforms Rapid (51.1%) by 1.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation?

The Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 59.1% (90% CI: 52.1%-66.0%) win rate for white, based on 133 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 58.2% (90% CI: 53.9%-62.5%) win rate for white, based on 360 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 671 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 50.3%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 855 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.8%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 46.7%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 50.9%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 58.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-64.5%) win rate for white, based on 174 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.3%-54.1%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-52.3%) win rate for white (4.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-53.2%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation has a 57.3% (90% CI: 49.4%-65.2%) win rate for white (104 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.5%.

Is the Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation a good opening?

The Philidor Defense: Hanham, Kmoch Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.