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Analyzer

Philidor Defense: Boden Variation

34K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.5%Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 52.0%Based on 34K games
0%51.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 52.0%
Outcome Distribution
49.4%4.1%46.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bd7
Philidor Defense: Boden Variation
Analyzen=34K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 51.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 52.0%), based on 34K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.7% win rate (242 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.8% win rate (1,378 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.6% win rate (4,348 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.7% win rate (7,955 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.9% win rate (9,824 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.3% win rate (7,415 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.0% win rate (2,182 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.0% win rate (320 games)
  • 2500+: 54.0% win rate (42 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (62%), worst in Bullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 62.2% win rate (17 games)
  • Bullet: 47.6% win rate (9,643 games)
  • Blitz: 50.0% win rate (20,458 games)
  • Rapid: 51.0% win rate (3,497 games)
  • Classical: 53.5% win rate (91 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (121 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (101 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (579 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (677 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (121 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (1,474 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (2,468 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (387 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (2,166 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (4,899 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (862 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (2,471 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (6,254 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (1,071 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (1,884 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (4,767 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (736 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (770 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (1,140 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (270 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (145 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (143 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (30 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 73.8% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Philidor Defense
50.2%
Variations (5)
Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit
44.3%
Philidor Defense: Berger Variation
40.3%
Philidor Defense: Bird Gambit
53.3%
Philidor Defense: Exchange Variation
50.5%
Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation
46.9%
Analyze Philidor Defense: Boden Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate?

The Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 34K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation perform best?

The Philidor Defense: Boden Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (2.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.0%) outperforms Classical (53.5%) by -2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation?

The Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 43.4%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 242 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 42.6%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.2%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 48.4%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 320 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.4%) win rate for white (9.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.6%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-52.4%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the Philidor Defense: Boden Variation a good opening?

The Philidor Defense: Boden Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.