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Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation

1.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.6%Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 50.6%Based on 1.6K games
0%48.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
44.7%7.8%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Bxe5
Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation
Analyzen=1.6K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate7.8%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 48.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.5% and 50.6%), based on 1.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 14.2% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~43%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.8% win rate (5 games)
  • 1200-1399: 61.9% win rate (9 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.7% win rate (22 games)
  • 1600-1799: 37.0% win rate (135 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.9% win rate (320 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (531 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.9% win rate (498 games)
  • 2500+: 43.3% win rate (92 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Classical (26%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.5% win rate (434 games)
  • Blitz: 44.7% win rate (1,006 games)
  • Rapid: 32.9% win rate (158 games)
  • Classical: 25.7% win rate (16 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (41 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 36.5% expected score (80 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 63.9% expected score (78 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (200 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (148 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (306 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 32.3% expected score (72 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (117 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (350 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 32.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 63.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 34.6% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Three Knights Game
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Italian Variation
50.9%
Petrov's Defense: Stafford Gambit
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack
51.5%
Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation
58.6%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 59.7% win rate for white (135 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (58.6%) outperforms Bullet (44.4%) by 14.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a sharpness score of 92.2 (decisive), meaning 92.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 59.7% (90% CI: 52.7%-66.5%) win rate for white, based on 135 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 45.0%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 320 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 44.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 531 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 41.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 498 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 10.1% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 44.4% (90% CI: 40.5%-48.4%) win rate for white (434 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 44.3%-49.5%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.4%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 58.6% (90% CI: 52.2%-65.0%) win rate for white (158 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.5%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Trifunovic Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-49.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.