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Analyzer

Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit

9.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score37.5%Range (90% confident): 36.7% – 38.4%Based on 9.1K games
0%37.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 36.7% – 38.4%
Outcome Distribution
36.3%2.5%61.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...g6
Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit
Analyzen=9.1K
Avg Length23 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.5%

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 37.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 36.7% and 38.4%), based on 9.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +1.6% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 96.8 · Trap factor: +41.2 · n=9.1K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 23.7% · Rapid best · Blitz worst

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 15% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 15.0% win rate (55 games)
  • 1000-1199: 12.3% win rate (181 games)
  • 1200-1399: 14.2% win rate (417 games)
  • 1400-1599: 15.9% win rate (743 games)
  • 1600-1799: 22.3% win rate (1,128 games)
  • 1800-1999: 32.9% win rate (1,729 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.9% win rate (2,294 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.3% win rate (2,283 games)
  • 2500+: 43.8% win rate (237 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (40%), worst in Classical (6%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 35.4% win rate (2,270 games)
  • Blitz: 39.8% win rate (5,836 games)
  • Rapid: 17.6% win rate (922 games)
  • Classical: 6.3% win rate (38 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 31.1% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 8.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 18.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 14.5% expected score (45 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 13.6% expected score (107 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 9.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 21.0% expected score (119 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 14.5% expected score (232 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 8.1% expected score (63 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 19.1% expected score (188 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 17.7% expected score (368 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 11.6% expected score (177 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 15.2% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 26.6% expected score (278 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 24.0% expected score (636 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 16.2% expected score (201 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 13.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 29.0% expected score (329 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 37.4% expected score (1,152 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 23.4% expected score (239 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 7.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (615 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (1,524 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 23.3% expected score (152 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.0% expected score (526 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (1,705 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 34.1% expected score (52 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (153 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Owen Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Owen Defense: Smith Gambit
49.1%
Owen Defense: Guatemala Defense
50.9%
Owen Defense: Naselwaus Gambit
56.5%
Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit
52.9%
Owen Defense: Wind Gambit
49.2%
Analyze Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate?

The Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 61.3% (90% CI: 60.4%-62.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit perform best?

The Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 87.4% win rate for white (181 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (80.9%) outperforms Blitz (57.2%) by 23.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit?

The Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.5 (very decisive), meaning 97.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 23 moves.

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 87.4% (90% CI: 83.1%-91.2%) win rate for white, based on 181 Lichess games. Average game length is 13 moves with a 0.3% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 84.2% (90% CI: 81.2%-87.1%) win rate for white, based on 417 Lichess games. Average game length is 15 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 83.2% (90% CI: 80.9%-85.4%) win rate for white, based on 743 Lichess games. Average game length is 15 moves with a 0.9% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 76.4% (90% CI: 74.3%-78.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 18 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 65.7% (90% CI: 63.8%-67.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 20 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.1%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 237 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 63.0% (90% CI: 61.3%-64.6%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 57.2% (90% CI: 56.2%-58.3%) win rate for white (5.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit has a 80.9% (90% CI: 78.8%-83.0%) win rate for white (922 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

Is the Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit a good opening?

The Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit is statistically favors white with a 61.3% (90% CI: 60.4%-62.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.