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Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit

8.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.7%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 55.6%Based on 8.7K games
0%54.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 55.6%
Outcome Distribution
52.9%3.6%43.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nc6
Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit
Analyzen=8.7K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a 54.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 55.6%), based on 8.7K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~53%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 52.8% win rate (1,476 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.2% win rate (2,053 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.9% win rate (2,238 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.9% win rate (1,587 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.5% win rate (883 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.7% win rate (335 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.2% win rate (99 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.0% win rate (23 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.6% win rate (57 games)
  • Bullet: 51.4% win rate (4,058 games)
  • Blitz: 54.1% win rate (3,480 games)
  • Rapid: 54.7% win rate (1,079 games)
  • Classical: 58.1% win rate (20 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (573 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (693 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (201 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (862 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (892 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (281 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (1,031 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (880 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (310 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 31.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (806 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (580 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (182 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (485 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (309 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (79 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (208 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 63.9% expected score (103 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (78 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 66.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Owen Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Owen Defense: Guatemala Defense
50.9%
Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit
61.3%
Owen Defense: Naselwaus Gambit
56.5%
Owen Defense: Smith Gambit
49.1%
Owen Defense: Unicorn Variation
58.9%
Analyze Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit win rate?

The Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit perform best?

The Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (2.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (54.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (43.6%) by 10.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit?

The Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a 52.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.4%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.2%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 48.7%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 883 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a 55.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 335 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.7%) win rate for white (4.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 52.7%-55.5%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit has a 54.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-57.2%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit a good opening?

The Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.