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Owen Defense: Wind Gambit

6.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

49.1%

45%55%
Floor48.1%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 50.1%.

Measured over 6.5K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 6.5K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
6.5K
Best context
51.2% at 1600-1799 Bullet
Worst context
46.4% at 1600-1799 Blitz
Average game length
35 moves
Games that end decisively
96.6%
Draws
3.4%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: −4.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 55.9% at 0-999, 40.0% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (72 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (165 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (97 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (147 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (230 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (230 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (363 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (440 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (66 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (603 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (640 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (632 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (756 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (632 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (405 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (347 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (59 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 35.7% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Owen Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Owen Defense: Smith Gambit
49.1%
Owen Defense: Guatemala Defense
50.9%
Owen Defense: Naselwaus Gambit
56.5%
Owen Defense: Matovinsky Gambit
61.3%
Owen Defense: Hekili-Loa Gambit
52.9%
Analyze Owen Defense: Wind Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit scores 49.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 48.1% and 50.1% — from 6.5K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
6.5K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate?

Playing the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit, Black wins 47.4%, draws 3.4% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 6.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit perform best?

The Owen Defense: Wind Gambit performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 54.7% (280 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 48.3% in Blitz (2.9K games) against 51.4% in Rapid (456 games).

How sharp is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit?

The Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 52.8%, draws 3.7% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.7%. It rests on 280 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 49.7%, draws 3.6% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.5%. It rests on 293 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 48.1%, draws 1.7% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.0%. It rests on 513 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 49.2%, draws 3.6% and loses 47.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 883 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 46.8%, draws 3.5% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 47.2%, draws 3.1% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 46.0%, draws 3.4% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 45.0%, draws 6.0% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 504 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 48.2%, draws 2.7% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 3.0K Lichess games.

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 46.2%, draws 4.2% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.3%. It rests on 2.9K Lichess games.

What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 49.7%, draws 3.4% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.4%. It rests on 456 Lichess games.

Is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit a good opening?

The Owen Defense: Wind Gambit is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 47.4% of its games and loses 49.2%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.