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Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation

473K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.3%Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.4%Based on 473K games
0%49.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.4%
Outcome Distribution
47.3%3.9%48.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...dxe4
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation
Analyzen=473K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 49.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.1% and 49.4%), based on 473K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.3 · Trap factor: +4.5 · n=473K

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.6% win rate (62,348 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.8% win rate (70,407 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.7% win rate (85,324 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.1% win rate (96,481 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.8% win rate (83,171 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.2% win rate (49,303 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.2% win rate (18,670 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.6% win rate (6,710 games)
  • 2500+: 51.1% win rate (636 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Rapid (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.0% win rate (1,858 games)
  • Bullet: 47.6% win rate (152,677 games)
  • Blitz: 47.1% win rate (218,108 games)
  • Rapid: 47.1% win rate (97,261 games)
  • Classical: 47.9% win rate (3,146 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.9% expected score (80 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (12,570 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (32,156 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (17,388 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (154 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (194 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (18,584 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (33,904 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (17,226 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (499 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (285 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (25,091 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (40,528 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (18,712 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (708 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 59.0% expected score (520 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (28,822 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (46,591 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (19,583 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (965 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (393 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (28,353 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (37,916 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (15,927 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (582 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (230 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (21,561 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (20,217 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (7,081 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (214 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.9% expected score (114 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (12,059 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (5,289 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (1,188 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 60.4% expected score (42 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (5,086 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (1,428 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (551 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 65.5% expected score (79 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Breyer Variation
51.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
45.9%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit Accepted
47.4%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
51.4%
Continuations (6)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Brandics Gambit
52.1%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Erben Gambit
53.8%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit
52.3%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit
51.2%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Richter Gambit
53.3%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Vehre Variation
50.8%
Analyze Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 473K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (6.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (54.0%) outperforms Classical (47.9%) by 6.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 70K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 85K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 96K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 83K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 49K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 636 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 52.1%-55.9%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.8%) win rate for white (153K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.3%) win rate for white (218K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.4%) win rate for white (97K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-49.4%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubow Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.