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Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation

1.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.5%Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 58.8%Based on 1.3K games
0%56.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 58.8%
Outcome Distribution
54.5%3.9%41.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Bb5
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation
Analyzen=1.3K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a 56.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.3% and 58.8%), based on 1.3K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 63% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 63.3% win rate (23 games)
  • 1000-1199: 59.3% win rate (55 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.4% win rate (126 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.6% win rate (199 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.3% win rate (191 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.8% win rate (210 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.1% win rate (310 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.3% win rate (184 games)
  • 2500+: 46.7% win rate (36 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (79%), worst in Bullet (52%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 51.9% win rate (225 games)
  • Blitz: 54.5% win rate (910 games)
  • Rapid: 56.4% win rate (191 games)
  • Classical: 78.9% win rate (8 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 62.3% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (84 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 66.4% expected score (29 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 61.9% expected score (137 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (111 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (51 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (145 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 60.3% expected score (52 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (232 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (137 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 80.5% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.6% expected score (20 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Breyer Variation
51.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
45.9%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit Accepted
47.4%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
51.4%
Analyze Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 56.6% win rate for white (199 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (54.5%) outperforms Bullet (51.9%) by 2.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 44.1%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 126 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a 56.6% (90% CI: 50.8%-62.3%) win rate for white, based on 199 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 49.4%-61.2%) win rate for white, based on 191 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 45.2%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 210 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 49.4%-58.7%) win rate for white, based on 310 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-62.3%) win rate for white, based on 184 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-57.3%) win rate for white (225 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 51.8%-57.2%) win rate for white (910 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation has a 56.4% (90% CI: 50.5%-62.2%) win rate for white (191 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-56.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.