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Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation

3.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score57.8%Range (90% confident): 56.5% – 59.1%Based on 3.9K games
0%57.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.5% – 59.1%
Outcome Distribution
56.6%2.4%41.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Qxg2
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation
Analyzen=3.9K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.4%

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 57.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 56.5% and 59.1%), based on 3.9K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +15.8% · Breakpoint: 2500+

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 97.3 · Trap factor: +2.3 · n=3.9K

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.0% win rate (24 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.2% win rate (32 games)
  • 1200-1399: 58.8% win rate (132 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.7% win rate (347 games)
  • 1600-1799: 57.2% win rate (566 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.9% win rate (1,213 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.9% win rate (1,065 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.5% win rate (451 games)
  • 2500+: 43.7% win rate (114 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (59%), worst in Classical (26%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 58.5% win rate (1,937 games)
  • Blitz: 55.3% win rate (1,784 games)
  • Rapid: 50.1% win rate (215 games)
  • Classical: 26.3% win rate (8 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 77.1% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 63.9% expected score (92 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 68.4% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 25.7% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (210 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (111 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 62.7% expected score (298 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (220 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (47 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 60.7% expected score (498 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (656 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (59 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (442 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (570 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 63.6% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 60.0% expected score (260 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (180 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (110 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Latvian Gambit
49.8%
Variations (5)
Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation
49.5%
Latvian Gambit: Mason Countergambit
49.4%
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense
53.0%
Latvian Gambit: Clam Gambit
44.6%
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack
52.4%
Analyze Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate?

The Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 41.0% (90% CI: 39.7%-42.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation perform best?

The Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.2% win rate for white (114 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (47.3%) outperforms Bullet (39.4%) by 7.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation?

The Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a sharpness score of 97.6 (very decisive), meaning 97.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 39.3% (90% CI: 32.5%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 132 Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 41.8% (90% CI: 37.4%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 347 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 41.3% (90% CI: 37.9%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 566 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 40.7% (90% CI: 38.4%-43.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 40.0% (90% CI: 37.5%-42.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 40.1% (90% CI: 36.3%-43.9%) win rate for white, based on 451 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 45.6%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 114 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 39.4% (90% CI: 37.6%-41.3%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 41.9% (90% CI: 40.0%-43.8%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 41.8%-52.9%) win rate for white (215 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

Is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation a good opening?

The Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Poisoned Pawn Variation is slightly favors black with a 41.0% (90% CI: 39.7%-42.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.