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Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense

86K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.0%Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 46.3%Based on 86K games
0%46.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 46.3%
Outcome Distribution
45.0%2.1%53.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nf6
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense
Analyzen=86K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.1%

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 46.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.8% and 46.3%), based on 86K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -7.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 12.6% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 42% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.3% win rate (2,556 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.9% win rate (5,058 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.5% win rate (10,146 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.7% win rate (17,056 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.2% win rate (21,883 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.1% win rate (19,483 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.3% win rate (7,883 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.1% win rate (2,162 games)
  • 2500+: 40.1% win rate (77 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.4% win rate (640 games)
  • Bullet: 46.6% win rate (45,490 games)
  • Blitz: 43.5% win rate (34,741 games)
  • Rapid: 40.2% win rate (5,327 games)
  • Classical: 36.7% win rate (106 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (1,118 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (980 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (449 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (2,449 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (2,094 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (476 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 39.4% expected score (97 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (4,459 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (4,740 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (837 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 29.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.2% expected score (299 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (7,881 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (7,572 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (1,282 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 37.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.4% expected score (171 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (10,352 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (10,110 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (1,213 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.4% expected score (37 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (11,393 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (7,226 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (814 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (5,789 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 40.1% expected score (1,850 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 33.6% expected score (236 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (1,974 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (167 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.2% expected score (75 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Latvian Gambit
49.8%
Variations (5)
Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation
49.5%
Latvian Gambit: Mason Countergambit
49.4%
Latvian Gambit: Clam Gambit
44.6%
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack
52.4%
Latvian Gambit: Fraser Defense
45.5%
Analyze Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate?

The Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 86K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense perform best?

The Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 55.8% win rate for white (2.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (57.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.3%) by 7.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense?

The Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a sharpness score of 97.9 (very decisive), meaning 97.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 55.5% (90% CI: 53.8%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 54.9% (90% CI: 54.0%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 55.8% (90% CI: 54.1%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 46.1%-52.6%) win rate for white (640 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.2%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.0%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.5%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 57.1% (90% CI: 56.0%-58.2%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense has a 61.9% (90% CI: 54.1%-69.4%) win rate for white (106 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

Is the Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense a good opening?

The Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense is statistically favors white with a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.