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Analyzer

Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation

34K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.5%Range (90% confident): 47.1% – 48.0%Based on 34K games
0%47.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.1% – 48.0%
Outcome Distribution
45.9%3.1%50.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Qe7
Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation
Analyzen=34K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 47.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.1% and 48.0%), based on 34K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +1.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 89.6 · Trap factor: +2.9 · n=34K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.4% · Classical best · Bullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.9% win rate (1,958 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.3% win rate (2,282 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.0% win rate (3,414 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.5% win rate (4,971 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.6% win rate (5,454 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.9% win rate (6,441 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.7% win rate (7,094 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.1% win rate (2,007 games)
  • 2500+: 37.7% win rate (127 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (70%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 70.4% win rate (12 games)
  • Bullet: 49.9% win rate (7,573 games)
  • Blitz: 45.9% win rate (18,924 games)
  • Rapid: 42.1% win rate (6,845 games)
  • Classical: 40.1% win rate (394 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (444 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (1,025 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (487 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (360 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (1,267 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (639 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (448 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (2,000 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (924 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,207 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (2,530 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (1,159 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 34.8% expected score (74 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,425 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (2,596 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 40.8% expected score (1,327 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 34.2% expected score (106 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,379 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (3,655 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.6% expected score (1,287 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (119 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (1,356 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (4,868 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (826 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.4% expected score (42 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (842 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.1% expected score (969 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (195 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.2% expected score (112 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Latvian Gambit
49.8%
Variations (5)
Latvian Gambit: Mlotkowski Variation
49.5%
Latvian Gambit: Mason Countergambit
49.4%
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack, Morgado Defense
53.0%
Latvian Gambit: Clam Gambit
44.6%
Latvian Gambit: Mayet Attack
52.4%
Analyze Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate?

The Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 34K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation perform best?

The Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.3% win rate for white (2.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.4%) outperforms Bullet (47.6%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation?

The Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.3%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 51.8%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 52.5%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 57.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-64.3%) win rate for white, based on 127 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.5%) win rate for white (7.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.5%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.4%-55.4%) win rate for white (6.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-60.1%) win rate for white (394 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

Is the Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation a good opening?

The Latvian Gambit: Greco Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.