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King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack

3.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.7%Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 51.8%Based on 3.2M games
0%51.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 51.8%
Outcome Distribution
49.9%3.6%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.c3
King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack
Analyzen=3.2M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 51.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.7% and 51.8%), based on 3.2M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.5% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 35%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.4% win rate (245,621 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.9% win rate (383,787 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.3% win rate (573,825 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.3% win rate (721,904 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.2% win rate (682,607 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.1% win rate (417,998 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (131,056 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.6% win rate (21,172 games)
  • 2500+: 35.0% win rate (2,528 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.3% win rate (6,527 games)
  • Bullet: 51.2% win rate (850,608 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (1,699,505 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (600,170 games)
  • Classical: 45.8% win rate (23,688 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (231 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (44,976 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (134,576 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (65,145 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (693 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (399 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (86,499 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (207,531 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (87,195 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (2,163 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (1,293 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (137,127 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (314,280 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (116,062 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.9% expected score (5,063 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (3,123 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (174,147 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (413,126 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (123,975 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (7,533 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 58.5% expected score (1,078 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (185,373 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (359,616 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (131,071 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.2% expected score (5,469 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (195 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (137,495 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (212,970 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (64,678 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (2,660 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.2% expected score (118 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (66,126 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (53,344 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (11,380 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (88 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.1% expected score (90 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (16,613 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (3,819 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (643 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,252 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (243 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening
48.3%
King's Pawn Game: Bavarian Gambit
49.5%
King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit
53.4%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit
47.3%
Continuations (1)
King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack, Lasa Gambit
48.1%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.2M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 50.3% win rate for white (722K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (54.3%) outperforms Classical (45.8%) by 8.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack?

The King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 246K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 384K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 574K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 722K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 683K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 418K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 131K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 35.0% (90% CI: 33.5%-36.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 28.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.3%-55.3%) win rate for white (6.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white (851K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.0%) win rate for white (1.7M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.3%) win rate for white (600K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.3%-46.4%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: MacLeod Attack is statistically balanced with a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.