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King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation

4.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

43.9%

35%55%
Floor42.7%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 45.1%.

Measured over 4.5K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 4.5K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
4.5K
Best context
45.9% at 1600-1799 Blitz
Worst context
41.2% at 1800-1999 Blitz
Average game length
31 moves
Games that end decisively
96.5%
Draws
3.5%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: −7.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 45.5% at 0-999, 32.2% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (37 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (78 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 36.6% expected score (73 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 37.4% expected score (197 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (101 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (380 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 40.8% expected score (139 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (147 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (513 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (215 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (128 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (602 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.5% expected score (228 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (145 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.2% expected score (603 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (153 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (134 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (408 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (70 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 64.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 32.2% expected score (21 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Defense
50.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Petrov's Defense
50.6%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack
48.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted
53.9%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation scores 43.9% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 42.7% and 45.1% — from 4.5K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
4.5K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate?

Playing the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation, Black wins 42.1%, draws 3.5% and loses 54.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.9%. It rests on 4.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation performs best for Black at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 53.7% (108 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 44.1% in Blitz (2.8K games) against 41.3% in Rapid (828 games).

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation?

The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 46.5%, draws 3.3% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 133 Lichess games, which average 23 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 39.1%, draws 1.7% and loses 59.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.0%. It rests on 317 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 41.3%, draws 3.1% and loses 55.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.9%. It rests on 624 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 41.0%, draws 2.5% and loses 56.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.3%. It rests on 888 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 43.2%, draws 3.5% and loses 53.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.0%. It rests on 974 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 40.6%, draws 3.5% and loses 55.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.4%. It rests on 910 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 45.0%, draws 6.0% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 569 Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 49.8%, draws 7.8% and loses 42.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.7%. It rests on 108 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 44.7%, draws 2.2% and loses 53.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.8%. It rests on 856 Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 42.0%, draws 4.1% and loses 53.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.1%. It rests on 2.8K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 39.8%, draws 3.0% and loses 57.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 41.3%. It rests on 828 Lichess games.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 42.1% of its games and loses 54.4%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.