4.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 43.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 42.7% and 45.1%), based on 4.5K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 47% → 24%
Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Rapid (40%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.1%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 59.2% win rate for white (317 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (57.2%) outperforms Bullet (53.1%) by 4.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 43.1%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 133 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 59.2% (90% CI: 54.6%-63.7%) win rate for white, based on 317 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 55.6% (90% CI: 52.3%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 624 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 56.5% (90% CI: 53.8%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 888 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 50.6%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 974 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 53.2%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 910 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 569 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 42.5% (90% CI: 34.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 108 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 50.3%-55.9%) win rate for white (856 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.3%-55.4%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation has a 57.2% (90% CI: 54.4%-60.0%) win rate for white (828 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Greco Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.1%-55.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.