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King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation

1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score49.0%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 51.5%Based on 1.1K games
0%49.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 51.5%
Outcome Distribution
47.6%2.8%49.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nd7
King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation
Analyzen=1.1K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation has a 49.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 51.5%), based on 1.1K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 24% → 11%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 24.3% win rate (17 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.3% win rate (52 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.9% win rate (116 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.9% win rate (187 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.4% win rate (263 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.0% win rate (223 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.1% win rate (184 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.4% win rate (78 games)
  • 2500+: 11.1% win rate (3 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (48%), worst in Classical (39%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.4% win rate (252 games)
  • Blitz: 48.1% win rate (677 games)
  • Rapid: 47.7% win rate (184 games)
  • Classical: 39.1% win rate (10 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (26 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (62 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 37.3% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (124 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (45 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (163 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 60.0% expected score (54 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (122 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (45 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (45 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (123 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (42 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Defense
50.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Petrov's Defense
50.6%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack
48.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted
53.9%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 50.5% win rate for white (263 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.3%) outperforms Rapid (48.8%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 42.2%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 116 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 44.2%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 187 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 45.4%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 263 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 41.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 223 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 41.2%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 184 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-57.4%) win rate for white (252 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 45.4%-51.7%) win rate for white (677 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 42.8%-54.8%) win rate for white (184 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Classical, Hanham Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.