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King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation

67K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score54.8%Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 55.2%Based on 67K games
0%54.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.5% – 55.2%
Outcome Distribution
53.2%3.1%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bg7
King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation
Analyzen=67K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 54.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 54.5% and 55.2%), based on 67K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.6% win rate (140 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.6% win rate (480 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.4% win rate (1,523 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (5,419 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.3% win rate (16,331 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.1% win rate (26,391 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.6% win rate (14,093 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (2,084 games)
  • 2500+: 51.0% win rate (70 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~54%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.7% win rate (12,938 games)
  • Blitz: 53.2% win rate (44,732 games)
  • Rapid: 52.7% win rate (8,673 games)
  • Classical: 53.6% win rate (188 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (77 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (54 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (185 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (259 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (35 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (645 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (743 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (133 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (1,741 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (3,079 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (578 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 65.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (3,310 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (11,037 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (1,899 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (85 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (3,736 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (18,734 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (3,857 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (64 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (2,486 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (9,610 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (1,982 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (714 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (1,191 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (179 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 43.7% (90% CI: 43.3%-44.0%) win rate for white, based on 67K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 50.2% win rate for white (1.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (44.3%) outperforms Classical (39.8%) by 4.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 47.2%-60.9%) win rate for white, based on 140 Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 0.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 480 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 42.6% (90% CI: 42.1%-43.1%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 42.7% (90% CI: 42.0%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.1%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.6%-45.0%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-44.0%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.2%-43.9%) win rate for white (8.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation has a 39.8% (90% CI: 34.1%-45.7%) win rate for white (188 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Traditional Variation is slightly favors black with a 43.7% (90% CI: 43.3%-44.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.