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King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit

57K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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5.Ne5
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

47.8%

40%55%
Floor47.4%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.1%.

Measured over 57K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for White

Draw 2.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 57K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
57K
Best context
51.5% at 1200-1399 Bullet
Worst context
42.7% at 1400-1599 Rapid
Average game length
26 moves
Games that end decisively
97.8%
Draws
2.2%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: −4.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.6 · Trap factor: −4.4 · 57K games

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 52.0% at 0-999, 43.0% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (251 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (220 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (50 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (778 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (764 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 36.2% expected score (161 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (1,808 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (2,384 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.3% expected score (397 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (3,125 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (6,976 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (1,331 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (3,304 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (11,540 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (2,593 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (99 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (2,665 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (9,667 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (3,089 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (59 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (1,277 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (2,688 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (855 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (307 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (293 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (68 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Continuations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack
40.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense
38.6%
King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation
31.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Cochrane Gambit
37.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Santa Maria Defense
35.1%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit scores 47.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.4% and 48.1% — from 57K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
57K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate?

Playing the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, White wins 46.6%, draws 2.2% and loses 51.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.8%. It rests on 57K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 51.1% (668 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 47.9% in Blitz (35K games) against 45.4% in Rapid (8.5K games).

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.8 (very decisive), meaning 97.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 47.1%, draws 1.8% and loses 51.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 522 Lichess games, which average 21 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 45.7%, draws 2.0% and loses 52.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games, which average 21 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 46.2%, draws 1.9% and loses 51.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 4.6K Lichess games, which average 23 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 46.3%, draws 1.9% and loses 51.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 47.0%, draws 2.2% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 18K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 46.7%, draws 2.4% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 15K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 46.4%, draws 3.2% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 4.8K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 49.2%, draws 3.8% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 668 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 48.0%, draws 1.5% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 14K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 46.7%, draws 2.4% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 35K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 44.0%, draws 2.8% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.4%. It rests on 8.5K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 47.2%, draws 2.5% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 222 Lichess games.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 46.6% of its games and loses 51.1%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.