11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a 67.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 67.1% and 68.6%), based on 11K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 62% → 73%
Best in Classical (85%), worst in Bullet (63%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a 31.1% (90% CI: 30.4%-31.9%) win rate for white, based on 11K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 31.6% win rate for white (4.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (35.1%) outperforms Classical (14.3%) by 20.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a sharpness score of 97.9 (very decisive), meaning 97.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a 28.9% (90% CI: 23.5%-34.6%) win rate for white, based on 180 Lichess games. Average game length is 20 moves with a 0.8% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a 28.9% (90% CI: 26.2%-31.6%) win rate for white, based on 776 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a 31.8% (90% CI: 30.3%-33.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a 31.6% (90% CI: 30.5%-32.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a 30.1% (90% CI: 28.5%-31.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a 32.3% (90% CI: 28.6%-36.2%) win rate for white, based on 402 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a 35.1% (90% CI: 33.4%-36.8%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a 31.9% (90% CI: 31.0%-32.8%) win rate for white (7.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation has a 23.0% (90% CI: 21.2%-24.7%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Viennese Variation is slightly favors black with a 31.1% (90% CI: 30.4%-31.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.