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King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit

29K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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a1
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6.Qxf3
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

58.5%

45%65%
Floor58.0%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 58.9%.

Measured over 29K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 2.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 29K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
29K
Best context
65.4% at 1200-1399 Bullet
Worst context
51.6% at 1600-1799 Rapid
Average game length
27 moves
Games that end decisively
97.9%
Draws
2.1%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +17.9% · Breakpoint: 2500+

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 92.8 · Trap factor: +22.3 · 29K games

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 61.3% at 0-999, 36.8% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 69.2% expected score (74 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 62.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (234 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 66.5% expected score (120 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 65.4% expected score (642 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (601 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (78 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 61.4% expected score (1,393 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (1,978 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (271 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 60.3% expected score (2,567 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (4,817 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (750 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.9% expected score (2,617 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (5,909 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (1,182 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 37.3% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (1,584 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (2,242 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (400 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (708 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (308 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit scores 58.5% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 58.0% and 58.9% — from 29K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
29K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate?

Playing the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit, White wins 57.4%, draws 2.1% and loses 40.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.5%. It rests on 29K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit performs best for White at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 66.5% (111 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 58.0% in Blitz (16K games) against 54.0% in Rapid (2.8K games).

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.9 (very decisive), meaning 97.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 65.3%, draws 2.2% and loses 32.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 66.5%. It rests on 111 Lichess games, which average 19 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 61.0%, draws 2.0% and loses 37.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.0%. It rests on 378 Lichess games, which average 20 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 60.4%, draws 0.9% and loses 38.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.9%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 22 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 59.0%, draws 1.2% and loses 39.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.7%. It rests on 3.7K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 57.2%, draws 1.9% and loses 41.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.1%. It rests on 8.2K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 56.7%, draws 2.3% and loses 41.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.9%. It rests on 9.7K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 56.4%, draws 3.1% and loses 40.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.0%. It rests on 4.2K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 57.1%, draws 3.1% and loses 39.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.7%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 59.7%, draws 1.6% and loses 38.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.5%. It rests on 9.9K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 56.8%, draws 2.3% and loses 40.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.0%. It rests on 16K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 52.7%, draws 2.6% and loses 44.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 2.8K Lichess games.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Ghulam-Kassim Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 57.4% of its games and loses 40.5%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.