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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense

70K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.2%Range (90% confident): 46.9% – 47.5%Based on 70K games
0%47.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.9% – 47.5%
Outcome Distribution
45.8%2.8%51.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nf6
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense
Analyzen=70K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 47.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.9% and 47.5%), based on 70K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.6% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.5% win rate (6,395 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.7% win rate (8,205 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.6% win rate (11,976 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.7% win rate (14,613 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.1% win rate (14,133 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.8% win rate (9,407 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.4% win rate (4,167 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.3% win rate (1,384 games)
  • 2500+: 48.5% win rate (84 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (47%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 37.3% win rate (107 games)
  • Bullet: 45.4% win rate (14,504 games)
  • Blitz: 45.6% win rate (39,456 games)
  • Rapid: 46.7% win rate (15,652 games)
  • Classical: 47.3% win rate (645 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (1,900 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (2,673 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (1,807 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (2,022 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (4,300 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (1,830 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 40.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (2,368 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (6,723 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (2,739 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (116 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 34.1% expected score (33 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (2,535 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (8,844 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (3,010 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (191 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (2,314 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (8,321 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (3,308 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (161 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (1,877 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (5,309 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (2,130 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (91 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (935 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (2,470 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (729 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (507 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (778 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (99 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (38 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 70K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 54.0% win rate for white (12K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (62.2%) outperforms Classical (48.6%) by 13.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.8%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.4%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.4%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 62.2% (90% CI: 54.5%-69.7%) win rate for white (107 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.5%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.0%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.6%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 45.4%-51.9%) win rate for white (645 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Defense is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.