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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation

9.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.1%Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 48.9%Based on 9.5K games
0%48.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 48.9%
Outcome Distribution
46.4%3.3%50.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...d5
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation
Analyzen=9.5K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 48.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.2% and 48.9%), based on 9.5K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~53%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.3% win rate (215 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.6% win rate (243 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.6% win rate (378 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.0% win rate (807 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.8% win rate (1,565 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.4% win rate (2,662 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.0% win rate (2,368 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.0% win rate (1,148 games)
  • 2500+: 54.2% win rate (75 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.1% win rate (21 games)
  • Bullet: 46.5% win rate (2,554 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (5,829 games)
  • Rapid: 48.7% win rate (1,002 games)
  • Classical: 39.8% win rate (55 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (81 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (86 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (93 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (59 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (155 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (166 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (247 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (462 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (80 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (429 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (938 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (182 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (679 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (1,642 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (320 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (506 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (1,636 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (220 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (326 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (780 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (41 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 63.5% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (2.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.6%) outperforms Rapid (47.3%) by 4.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 39.1%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 215 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 243 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 378 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.0%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 807 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.8%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.0%-53.3%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.3%) win rate for white (5.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 44.7%-49.9%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.