3.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 43.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 42.4% and 45.3%), based on 3.2K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 50% → 43%
Best in Bullet (43%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.1%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 54.8% win rate for white (988 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (54.5%) outperforms Rapid (52.4%) by 2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 44.6%-60.4%) win rate for white, based on 106 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-59.9%) win rate for white, based on 326 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 52.1%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 680 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 52.2%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 988 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 52.1%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 743 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 45.5%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 217 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-57.6%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 52.6%-56.4%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 47.7%-57.2%) win rate for white (297 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.1%-56.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.