8.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 43.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 42.8% and 44.6%), based on 8.3K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 45% → 31%
Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (37%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.2%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 57.9% win rate for white (1.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (55.1%) outperforms Rapid (48.8%) by 6.3%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 150 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 49.1%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 445 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 49.7%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.0%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 54.4% (90% CI: 52.8%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 57.9% (90% CI: 55.9%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 57.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-64.7%) win rate for white, based on 113 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 11.8% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.5%-55.0%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 55.1% (90% CI: 54.0%-56.2%) win rate for white (5.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-51.9%) win rate for white (703 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit is statistically favors white with a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.2%-55.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.