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Italian Game: Classical Variation

3.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.4%Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 53.4%Based on 3.2M games
0%53.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 53.4%
Outcome Distribution
51.6%3.5%44.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nf6
Italian Game: Classical Variation
Analyzen=3.2M
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 53.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.3% and 53.4%), based on 3.2M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~53%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.7% win rate (101,570 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.1% win rate (263,162 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.3% win rate (497,246 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.6% win rate (719,749 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.2% win rate (760,782 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.8% win rate (567,257 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.8% win rate (209,088 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (48,279 games)
  • 2500+: 51.9% win rate (4,260 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Blitz (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.3% win rate (980 games)
  • Bullet: 51.7% win rate (698,764 games)
  • Blitz: 51.3% win rate (1,717,637 games)
  • Rapid: 52.2% win rate (727,442 games)
  • Classical: 53.2% win rate (26,570 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.4% expected score (63 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (29,203 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (47,400 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (24,752 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.4% expected score (152 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (163 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (71,479 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (131,106 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (59,348 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (1,066 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.2% expected score (225 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (115,405 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (267,281 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (111,246 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (3,089 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 60.9% expected score (430 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (142,300 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (396,799 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (173,257 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (6,963 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (86 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (137,725 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (426,854 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (186,836 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (9,281 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 86.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (109,510 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (321,912 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (130,573 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (5,254 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (62,741 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (108,926 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (36,707 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 63.9% expected score (709 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (26,728 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (16,809 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (4,688 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 76.2% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (3,673 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (550 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit
52.3%
Continuations (10)
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit
52.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack
58.1%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Holding Variation
42.0%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Closed Variation
46.9%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Eisinger Variation
57.2%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation
53.7%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Giuoco Pianissimo
50.4%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Giuoco Pianissimo, Albin Variation
48.2%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Giuoco Pianissimo, Main Line
45.6%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Giuoco Pianissimo, with a5
48.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Classical Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.2M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Classical Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (263K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (56.3%) outperforms Blitz (51.3%) by 5.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Classical Variation?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 102K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 263K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 497K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 720K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 761K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 567K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 209K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 53.7%-58.9%) win rate for white (980 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.8%) win rate for white (699K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.3%) win rate for white (1.7M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.3%) win rate for white (727K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.7%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.