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Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack

531K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score59.7%Range (90% confident): 59.6% – 59.8%Based on 531K games
0%59.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 59.6% – 59.8%
Outcome Distribution
58.1%3.1%38.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.d4
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack
Analyzen=531K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 59.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 59.6% and 59.8%), based on 531K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 12.0% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~56%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.9% win rate (29,948 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.4% win rate (50,250 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.7% win rate (78,267 games)
  • 1400-1599: 58.3% win rate (110,072 games)
  • 1600-1799: 58.9% win rate (117,483 games)
  • 1800-1999: 58.6% win rate (87,410 games)
  • 2000-2199: 57.4% win rate (38,194 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.6% win rate (15,841 games)
  • 2500+: 55.3% win rate (3,073 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (60%), worst in UltraBullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.2% win rate (421 games)
  • Bullet: 58.0% win rate (136,682 games)
  • Blitz: 57.8% win rate (254,398 games)
  • Rapid: 58.7% win rate (132,194 games)
  • Classical: 60.2% win rate (6,843 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.6% expected score (55 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7,601 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (11,410 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (10,796 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 68.3% expected score (86 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 37.2% expected score (92 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (14,778 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (20,063 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.0% expected score (14,918 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 65.0% expected score (399 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (139 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (21,204 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (35,254 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (20,704 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.4% expected score (966 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 58.3% expected score (107 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 59.8% expected score (28,353 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (52,595 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.0% expected score (27,250 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 64.1% expected score (1,767 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 59.9% expected score (26,223 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (61,331 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (27,734 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.7% expected score (2,170 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.7% expected score (19,323 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (44,965 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (21,967 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 63.9% expected score (1,154 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (11,407 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (19,222 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (7,305 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (259 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 60.3% expected score (5,928 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (8,432 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (1,442 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 71.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.6% expected score (1,865 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (1,126 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (78 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 58.1% (90% CI: 58.0%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 531K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack perform best?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 58.9% win rate for white (117K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (60.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.2%) by 12.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.5%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 57.4% (90% CI: 57.0%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 50K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 57.7% (90% CI: 57.4%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 78K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 58.3% (90% CI: 58.1%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 110K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 58.9% (90% CI: 58.7%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 117K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 58.6% (90% CI: 58.3%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 87K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 57.4% (90% CI: 56.9%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 57.6% (90% CI: 56.9%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 55.3% (90% CI: 53.9%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 44.2%-52.2%) win rate for white (421 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 58.0% (90% CI: 57.7%-58.2%) win rate for white (137K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 57.8% (90% CI: 57.6%-57.9%) win rate for white (254K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 58.7% (90% CI: 58.5%-58.9%) win rate for white (132K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack has a 60.2% (90% CI: 59.2%-61.2%) win rate for white (6.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack a good opening?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Center Attack is statistically favors white with a 58.1% (90% CI: 58.0%-58.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.