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Grob Opening: Grob Gambit

679K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.4%Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 51.5%Based on 679K games
0%51.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 51.5%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%3.2%47.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Bg2
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit
Analyzen=679K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 51.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.3% and 51.5%), based on 679K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.9% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.2% win rate (31,575 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.6% win rate (48,658 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.8% win rate (79,616 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.0% win rate (126,208 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.2% win rate (160,815 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.1% win rate (146,401 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.8% win rate (57,476 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.6% win rate (25,084 games)
  • 2500+: 52.3% win rate (2,781 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.5% win rate (4,595 games)
  • Bullet: 51.3% win rate (291,446 games)
  • Blitz: 49.1% win rate (324,604 games)
  • Rapid: 46.5% win rate (56,282 games)
  • Classical: 41.4% win rate (1,687 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (68 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (8,497 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (17,998 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (4,953 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 31.0% expected score (59 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 49.9% expected score (409 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (16,266 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (25,795 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (6,034 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.2% expected score (154 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (447 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (30,742 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (39,299 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (8,869 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (259 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (1,609 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (49,576 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (63,633 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (10,771 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.2% expected score (619 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1,517 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (64,614 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (82,972 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (11,366 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (346 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (463 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (67,468 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (68,641 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (9,621 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (208 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.7% expected score (58 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (30,445 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (22,772 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (4,165 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 37.8% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (21,264 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (3,300 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (491 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (2,574 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (194 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 68.6% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grob Opening
48.4%
Variations (5)
Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit
50.6%
Grob Opening: Double Grob
50.5%
Grob Opening: Double Grob, Coca-Cola Gambit
29.3%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined
49.8%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit
49.1%
Continuations (4)
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit
49.1%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit
58.0%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit
49.2%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit
47.8%
Analyze Grob Opening: Grob Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 679K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit perform best?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (25K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.3%) outperforms Classical (41.4%) by 9.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.7%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 49K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 80K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 126K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 161K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 146K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 57K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.7%) win rate for white (4.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.4%) win rate for white (291K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.2%) win rate for white (325K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.2%-46.9%) win rate for white (56K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit has a 41.4% (90% CI: 39.5%-43.4%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit a good opening?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.