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Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit

5.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit is balanced for Black at 49.4% expected score.

Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

You play
Playable
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score49.4%Based on 5.6K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
45%49.4%55%
Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 50.5%
Min adv-3.5%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=5.6K
Outcome Distribution
5...Qxa8
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit
Analyzen=5.6K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 49.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.3% and 50.5%), based on 5.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +6.7% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 59%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.1% win rate (76 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.7% win rate (255 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.8% win rate (544 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.2% win rate (936 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.2% win rate (1,136 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.8% win rate (1,124 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.3% win rate (795 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.0% win rate (609 games)
  • 2500+: 58.5% win rate (95 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (49%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 46.7% win rate (2,189 games)
  • Blitz: 48.6% win rate (2,844 games)
  • Rapid: 49.0% win rate (516 games)
  • Classical: 44.8% win rate (13 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (71 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (148 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (35 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (164 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.8% expected score (312 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (67 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (290 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (550 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (90 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (428 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (590 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (113 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (512 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (509 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (96 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (287 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (425 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (82 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (345 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (242 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 75.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 66.1% expected score (70 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (25 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grob Opening
48.4%
Variations (5)
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit
49.8%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit
58.0%
Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack
53.8%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined
49.8%
Grob Opening: Spike Attack
49.2%
Analyze Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit win rate?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit perform best?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 52.2% win rate for white (936 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.7%) outperforms Rapid (46.3%) by 4.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 44.2% (90% CI: 39.2%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 255 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 48.8%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 544 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 49.5%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 936 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 43.2%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 795 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 43.3% (90% CI: 40.0%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 609 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-52.5%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-50.0%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit has a 46.3% (90% CI: 42.7%-49.9%) win rate for white (516 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit a good opening?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.