TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit

597K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score59.5%Range (90% confident): 59.4% – 59.6%Based on 597K games
0%59.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 59.4% – 59.6%
Outcome Distribution
58.0%3.0%39.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.c4
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit
Analyzen=597K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 59.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 59.4% and 59.6%), based on 597K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +19.8% · Breakpoint: Never

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.9% · Bullet best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 55% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.7% win rate (6,186 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.8% win rate (17,576 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.8% win rate (43,528 games)
  • 1400-1599: 58.4% win rate (93,668 games)
  • 1600-1799: 58.3% win rate (155,433 games)
  • 1800-1999: 58.5% win rate (168,481 games)
  • 2000-2199: 57.3% win rate (79,410 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.1% win rate (29,433 games)
  • 2500+: 52.7% win rate (3,653 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (60%), worst in UltraBullet (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.4% win rate (1,625 games)
  • Bullet: 60.3% win rate (198,560 games)
  • Blitz: 57.4% win rate (332,586 games)
  • Rapid: 54.8% win rate (62,635 games)
  • Classical: 50.6% win rate (1,962 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 69.6% expected score (24 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 59.7% expected score (2,193 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (3,381 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (587 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.2% expected score (131 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.7% expected score (6,426 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (9,369 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (1,630 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.6% expected score (128 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 62.0% expected score (14,928 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (24,286 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (4,082 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.2% expected score (104 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.1% expected score (619 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 63.2% expected score (29,821 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (54,165 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (8,585 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (478 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.3% expected score (567 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 61.8% expected score (44,849 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (93,928 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (15,603 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (486 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.3% expected score (145 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 61.7% expected score (49,970 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.9% expected score (98,341 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (19,314 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (711 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 60.5% expected score (26,455 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (41,491 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (11,313 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (145 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.2% expected score (20,808 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (7,098 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (1,505 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (3,110 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (527 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (16 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grob Opening
48.4%
Variations (5)
Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit
50.6%
Grob Opening: Double Grob
50.5%
Grob Opening: Double Grob, Coca-Cola Gambit
29.3%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit
49.8%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined
49.8%
Continuations (1)
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit, Romford Countergambit
49.2%
Analyze Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 58.0% (90% CI: 57.9%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 597K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit perform best?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 58.5% win rate for white (168K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (60.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.4%) by 9.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.6%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 56.8% (90% CI: 56.2%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 57.8% (90% CI: 57.4%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 58.4% (90% CI: 58.1%-58.7%) win rate for white, based on 94K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 58.3% (90% CI: 58.1%-58.5%) win rate for white, based on 155K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 58.5% (90% CI: 58.3%-58.7%) win rate for white, based on 168K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 57.3% (90% CI: 57.0%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 57.1% (90% CI: 56.6%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.4%-52.5%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 60.3% (90% CI: 60.1%-60.5%) win rate for white (199K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 57.4% (90% CI: 57.2%-57.5%) win rate for white (333K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.5%-55.2%) win rate for white (63K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 48.7%-52.5%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit a good opening?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Fritz Gambit is statistically favors white with a 58.0% (90% CI: 57.9%-58.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.