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Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack

450K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.3%Range (90% confident): 55.2% – 55.4%Based on 450K games
0%55.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.2% – 55.4%
Outcome Distribution
53.8%2.9%43.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.c4
Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack
Analyzen=450K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 55.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.2% and 55.4%), based on 450K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.6% win rate (10,757 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.4% win rate (29,696 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.8% win rate (59,074 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.7% win rate (96,128 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.0% win rate (120,198 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.0% win rate (90,217 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.5% win rate (33,337 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.0% win rate (9,976 games)
  • 2500+: 50.9% win rate (924 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Classical (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.0% win rate (726 games)
  • Bullet: 55.2% win rate (133,665 games)
  • Blitz: 53.6% win rate (259,536 games)
  • Rapid: 51.9% win rate (55,160 games)
  • Classical: 50.9% win rate (1,220 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (3,286 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (6,426 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (1,011 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (206 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (8,419 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (18,051 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (2,982 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (38 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (159 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (15,607 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (35,907 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (7,257 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (144 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (168 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (25,238 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (58,617 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (11,661 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (444 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.2% expected score (150 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (32,947 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (72,463 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (14,379 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (259 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 75.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (27,890 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (49,266 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (12,759 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (288 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (11,839 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (16,593 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (4,864 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (39 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (7,672 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (2,061 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (242 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (767 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (152 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grob Opening
48.4%
Variations (5)
Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit
50.6%
Grob Opening: Double Grob
50.5%
Grob Opening: Double Grob, Coca-Cola Gambit
29.3%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit
49.8%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined
49.8%
Analyze Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate?

The Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 450K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack perform best?

The Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 55.0% win rate for white (10.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.2%) outperforms Classical (50.9%) by 4.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack?

The Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 59K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.4%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 96K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 120K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 90K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.0%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.2%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 48.2%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 924 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 57.0% (90% CI: 53.9%-60.0%) win rate for white (726 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.4%) win rate for white (134K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.4%-53.7%) win rate for white (260K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.2%) win rate for white (55K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-53.2%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack a good opening?

The Grob Opening: Spike, Hurst Attack is statistically favors white with a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.