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Grob Opening: Spike Attack

91K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.4%Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 51.6%Based on 91K games
0%51.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 51.6%
Outcome Distribution
49.2%4.3%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.g5
Grob Opening: Spike Attack
Analyzen=91K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 51.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 51.6%), based on 91K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.0% · Classical best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.0% win rate (1,080 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.0% win rate (2,203 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.7% win rate (4,632 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.6% win rate (10,903 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.6% win rate (19,616 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (24,039 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.5% win rate (15,088 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.6% win rate (10,375 games)
  • 2500+: 52.3% win rate (2,871 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (57%), worst in Rapid (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.6% win rate (356 games)
  • Bullet: 51.6% win rate (32,752 games)
  • Blitz: 48.0% win rate (51,008 games)
  • Rapid: 45.9% win rate (6,551 games)
  • Classical: 56.9% win rate (140 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (260 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (715 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (101 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (662 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (1,303 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (234 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,543 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (2,536 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (537 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 76.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (3,990 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (6,066 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (792 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.8% expected score (62 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (5,816 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (12,129 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (1,590 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (239 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (6,320 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (15,535 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (1,901 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (44 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (4,432 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (9,297 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (1,322 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 68.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (7,438 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (2,848 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (74 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 92.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (2,291 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (579 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grob Opening
48.4%
Variations (5)
Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit
50.6%
Grob Opening: Double Grob
50.5%
Grob Opening: Double Grob, Coca-Cola Gambit
29.3%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit
49.8%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined
49.8%
Analyze Grob Opening: Spike Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate?

The Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 91K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grob Opening: Spike Attack perform best?

The Grob Opening: Spike Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (10K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.6%) outperforms Rapid (45.9%) by 5.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack?

The Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 48.0% (90% CI: 45.5%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 52.3% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 51.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-55.9%) win rate for white (356 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.0%) win rate for white (33K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.4%) win rate for white (51K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 45.9% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.9%) win rate for white (6.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Grob Opening: Spike Attack has a 56.9% (90% CI: 50.0%-63.7%) win rate for white (140 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

Is the Grob Opening: Spike Attack a good opening?

The Grob Opening: Spike Attack is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.