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Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined

392K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.5%Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 51.6%Based on 392K games
0%51.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 51.6%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%3.4%46.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...c6
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined
Analyzen=392K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 51.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.4% and 51.6%), based on 392K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.0% win rate (8,442 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.6% win rate (15,494 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.8% win rate (28,319 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.9% win rate (50,900 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.2% win rate (81,113 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (104,310 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (60,198 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (37,478 games)
  • 2500+: 52.2% win rate (5,253 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.1% win rate (2,426 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (190,487 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (175,145 games)
  • Rapid: 45.7% win rate (22,810 games)
  • Classical: 46.8% win rate (639 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 40.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (2,327 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (4,894 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.5% expected score (1,187 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.7% expected score (147 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (5,234 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (8,260 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (1,815 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (38 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 43.9% expected score (179 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (11,479 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (13,691 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (2,891 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (79 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 43.4% expected score (911 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (21,293 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (24,943 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (3,593 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (160 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (941 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (34,926 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (40,506 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (4,590 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.3% expected score (150 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.6% expected score (164 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (48,403 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (50,215 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (5,365 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (163 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.1% expected score (47 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (30,529 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (26,690 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (2,894 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (31,289 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (5,709 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (466 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (5,007 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (237 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 88.1% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grob Opening
48.4%
Variations (5)
Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit
50.6%
Grob Opening: Double Grob
50.5%
Grob Opening: Double Grob, Coca-Cola Gambit
29.3%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit
49.8%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit
49.1%
Analyze Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 392K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined perform best?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (37K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (44.1%) by 7.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.2%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 81K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 104K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 44.1% (90% CI: 42.4%-45.7%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.7%) win rate for white (190K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.7%) win rate for white (175K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 45.7% (90% CI: 45.2%-46.3%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined has a 46.8% (90% CI: 43.5%-50.0%) win rate for white (639 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined a good opening?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined is statistically balanced with a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.