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Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit

3.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.1%Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 50.6%Based on 3.0K games
0%49.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%2.6%49.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.b3
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit
Analyzen=3.0K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.6%

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit has a 49.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.6% and 50.6%), based on 3.0K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -4.0% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.2% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.7% win rate (42 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.2% win rate (78 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.6% win rate (96 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.3% win rate (178 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.3% win rate (490 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (972 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.3% win rate (604 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.0% win rate (487 games)
  • 2500+: 46.9% win rate (55 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (71%), worst in Rapid (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 49.1% win rate (1,477 games)
  • Blitz: 47.0% win rate (1,396 games)
  • Rapid: 39.9% win rate (125 games)
  • Classical: 42.9% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 39.8% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (62 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (57 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (104 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (186 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (279 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (406 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (533 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (31 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (367 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (210 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 30.7% expected score (27 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (375 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (109 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 34.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.9% expected score (31 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grob Opening
48.4%
Variations (5)
Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit
50.6%
Grob Opening: Double Grob
50.5%
Grob Opening: Double Grob, Coca-Cola Gambit
29.3%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit
49.8%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined
49.8%
Analyze Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit win rate?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.3%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit perform best?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 49.7% win rate for white (972 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.1%) outperforms Rapid (39.9%) by 9.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit has a 49.3% (90% CI: 43.2%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 178 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 40.6%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 490 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 47.0%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 972 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 44.0%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 604 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.3%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 487 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.0%-51.3%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 44.8%-49.2%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit has a 39.9% (90% CI: 32.9%-47.1%) win rate for white (125 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit a good opening?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Richter-Grob Gambit is slightly favors black with a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.3%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.