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Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit

2.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.9%Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 52.6%Based on 2.4K games
0%50.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 52.6%
Outcome Distribution
49.1%3.5%47.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.gxh5
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit
Analyzen=2.4K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.2% and 52.6%), based on 2.4K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +3.0% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.8% win rate (17 games)
  • 1000-1199: 40.4% win rate (27 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.9% win rate (75 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.3% win rate (154 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.9% win rate (392 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.7% win rate (741 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.5% win rate (578 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.3% win rate (323 games)
  • 2500+: 39.4% win rate (48 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (9 games)
  • Bullet: 50.7% win rate (947 games)
  • Blitz: 48.3% win rate (1,286 games)
  • Rapid: 46.7% win rate (111 games)
  • Classical: 14.3% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 66.2% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 66.8% expected score (55 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (84 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (130 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (244 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (233 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (465 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 34.0% expected score (39 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (209 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (333 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (34 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (237 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (83 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (42 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grob Opening
48.4%
Variations (5)
Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit
50.6%
Grob Opening: Double Grob
50.5%
Grob Opening: Double Grob, Coca-Cola Gambit
29.3%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit
49.8%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined
49.8%
Analyze Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit win rate?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit perform best?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 56.3% win rate for white (154 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.7%) outperforms Rapid (46.7%) by 4.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit has a 56.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-62.7%) win rate for white, based on 154 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 45.8%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 392 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 43.7%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 741 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 578 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 42.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 323 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.0%-53.3%) win rate for white (947 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 46.0%-50.6%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 39.0%-54.4%) win rate for white (111 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

Is the Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit a good opening?

The Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.