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Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit

26K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 52.1% – 53.1%Based on 26K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.1% – 53.1%
Outcome Distribution
50.6%4.0%45.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...f5
Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit
Analyzen=26K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.1% and 53.1%), based on 26K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.3% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 61%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.8% win rate (2,204 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.1% win rate (1,785 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (2,266 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.3% win rate (3,655 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.1% win rate (5,098 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.5% win rate (5,974 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.6% win rate (3,258 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.2% win rate (1,631 games)
  • 2500+: 61.0% win rate (142 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in UltraBullet (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.3% win rate (861 games)
  • Bullet: 50.7% win rate (12,215 games)
  • Blitz: 50.4% win rate (10,725 games)
  • Rapid: 51.3% win rate (2,105 games)
  • Classical: 57.6% win rate (107 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (559 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (1,205 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (425 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (501 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (955 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (266 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.3% expected score (71 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (791 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (1,123 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (261 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.4% expected score (234 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,415 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (1,593 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (358 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (55 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (278 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (2,170 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (2,331 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (307 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 68.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.4% expected score (163 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (3,030 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (2,464 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (314 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 66.5% expected score (44 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (2,127 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (920 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (166 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (1,486 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 62.4% expected score (128 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.8% expected score (136 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grob Opening
48.4%
Variations (5)
Grob Opening: Double Grob
50.5%
Grob Opening: Double Grob, Coca-Cola Gambit
29.3%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit
49.8%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit Declined
49.8%
Grob Opening: Grob Gambit, Basman Gambit
49.1%
Analyze Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate?

The Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 26K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit perform best?

The Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 61.0% win rate for white (142 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.7%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.3%) by 1.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit?

The Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.0%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 10.8% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.2%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 61.0% (90% CI: 54.2%-67.6%) win rate for white, based on 142 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 49.3% (90% CI: 46.5%-52.1%) win rate for white (861 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.4%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.2%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.1%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

What is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit has a 57.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-65.3%) win rate for white (107 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit a good opening?

The Grob Opening: Alessi Gambit is statistically favors white with a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.