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French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit

24K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

58.7%

45%65%
Floor58.1%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 59.2%.

Measured over 24K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 24K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
24K
Best context
64.7% at 1600-1799 Bullet
Worst context
55.8% at 2000-2199 Blitz
Average game length
30 moves
Games that end decisively
96.2%
Draws
3.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +21.6% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 51.0% at 0-999, 55.6% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (106 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (330 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (173 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (165 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (378 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (214 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (252 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (754 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (359 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 34.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (467 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (1,455 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (625 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 64.7% expected score (591 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 62.6% expected score (1,999 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (960 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 62.7% expected score (967 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 61.3% expected score (2,926 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (975 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 66.9% expected score (34 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (1,716 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (3,519 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (509 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (1,696 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (1,382 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (101 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (752 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (135 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit scores 58.7% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 58.1% and 59.2% — from 24K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
24K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate?

Playing the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit, White wins 56.7%, draws 3.8% and loses 39.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.7%. It rests on 24K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit performs best for White at 1800-1999, with an Expected Score of 62.0% (4.9K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 58.5% in Blitz (13K games) against 57.5% in Rapid (3.9K games).

How sharp is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 44.2%, draws 5.8% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 613 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 47.1%, draws 4.4% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 760 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 57.0%, draws 3.3% and loses 39.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.7%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 56.6%, draws 3.0% and loses 40.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.1%. It rests on 2.6K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 60.3%, draws 3.0% and loses 36.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 61.8%. It rests on 3.6K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 60.1%, draws 3.7% and loses 36.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.0%. It rests on 4.9K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 54.7%, draws 4.1% and loses 41.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.8%. It rests on 5.8K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 56.4%, draws 4.1% and loses 39.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.5%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 55.0%, draws 6.4% and loses 38.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.2%. It rests on 888 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 58.3%, draws 2.9% and loses 38.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.8%. It rests on 6.7K Lichess games.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 56.4%, draws 4.2% and loses 39.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.5%. It rests on 13K Lichess games.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 55.4%, draws 4.2% and loses 40.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.5%. It rests on 3.9K Lichess games.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 50.5%, draws 3.8% and loses 45.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 144 Lichess games.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Winckelmann-Reimer Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 56.7% of its games and loses 39.4%. It performs best at 1800-1999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.