TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation

163K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.8%Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.0%Based on 163K games
0%51.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.0%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%3.9%46.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Bd2
French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation
Analyzen=163K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 51.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.6% and 52.0%), based on 163K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 12.5% · Blitz best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.4% win rate (9,855 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.8% win rate (18,027 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (24,704 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.3% win rate (29,156 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.3% win rate (26,917 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.2% win rate (24,717 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.7% win rate (18,600 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.7% win rate (9,313 games)
  • 2500+: 51.6% win rate (1,427 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (50%), worst in UltraBullet (38%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 37.9% win rate (137 games)
  • Bullet: 50.1% win rate (35,317 games)
  • Blitz: 50.4% win rate (84,973 games)
  • Rapid: 48.8% win rate (40,235 games)
  • Classical: 44.6% win rate (2,054 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (1,331 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (6,089 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2,426 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (2,209 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (9,912 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (5,801 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 39.8% expected score (101 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (2,972 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (12,460 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (8,893 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (365 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 33.2% expected score (37 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (4,270 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (14,380 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (9,741 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (728 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 35.6% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (5,841 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (13,450 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (7,005 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (567 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (6,534 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (13,604 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (4,320 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (240 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (6,179 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (10,813 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (1,559 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (42 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (4,789 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (4,038 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (482 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (1,192 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (227 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Continuations (2)
French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit
56.2%
French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line
50.8%
Analyze French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 163K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 50.7% win rate for white (19K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (37.9%) by 12.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 37.9% (90% CI: 31.2%-44.8%) win rate for white (137 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.5%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.6%) win rate for white (85K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.2%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 42.8%-46.4%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.