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French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit

733 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score41.4%Range (90% confident): 38.5% – 44.5%Based on 733 games
0%41.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 38.5% – 44.5%
Outcome Distribution
39.0%4.8%56.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Qxd4
French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit
Analyzen=733
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit has a 41.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 38.5% and 44.5%), based on 733 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -21.2% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.0% · Bullet best · Blitz worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 29%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.9% win rate (7 games)
  • 1000-1199: 33.3% win rate (6 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (9 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.8% win rate (18 games)
  • 1600-1799: 37.0% win rate (35 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.9% win rate (102 games)
  • 2000-2199: 34.5% win rate (246 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.2% win rate (262 games)
  • 2500+: 29.3% win rate (48 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (41%), worst in Bullet (33%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 33.3% win rate (180 games)
  • Blitz: 41.3% win rate (455 games)
  • Rapid: 38.5% win rate (83 games)
  • Classical: 39.4% win rate (15 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399———
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 29.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 32.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 37.0% expected score (167 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 37.1% expected score (72 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (179 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 34.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 27.2% expected score (38 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit has a 56.2% (90% CI: 53.1%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 733 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 60.8% win rate for white (246 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (62.0%) outperforms Rapid (55.0%) by 7.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 43.6%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 102 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit has a 60.8% (90% CI: 55.7%-65.9%) win rate for white, based on 246 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 262 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit has a 62.0% (90% CI: 56.0%-67.8%) win rate for white (180 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 50.2%-57.8%) win rate for white (455 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit is statistically favors white with a 56.2% (90% CI: 53.1%-59.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.