French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit
733 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
41.4%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 44.5%.
Measured over 733 games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 4.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 733 games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 733
- Best context
- not measured yet
- Average game length
- 31 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.2%
- Draws
- 4.8%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 51.0% at 0-999, 36.5% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (16 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (63 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 29.5% expected score (18 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 32.9% expected score (48 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 37.0% expected score (167 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (27 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 37.1% expected score (72 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (179 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 34.0% expected score (11 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 27.2% expected score (38 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit scores 41.4% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 38.5% and 44.5% — from 733 Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 733+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate?
Playing the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit, Black wins 39.0%, draws 4.8% and loses 56.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 41.4%. It rests on 733 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit perform best?
The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit performs best for Black at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 44.5% (262 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 43.7% in Blitz (455 games) against 41.8% in Rapid (83 games).
How sharp is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit?
The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 44.9%, draws 3.4% and loses 51.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 102 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 34.5%, draws 4.6% and loses 60.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 36.9%. It rests on 246 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 41.2%, draws 6.6% and loses 52.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.5%. It rests on 262 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 33.3%, draws 4.7% and loses 62.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 35.7%. It rests on 180 Lichess games.
What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 41.3%, draws 4.7% and loses 54.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.7%. It rests on 455 Lichess games.
Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit a good opening?
The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Kunin Double Gambit is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 39.0% of its games and loses 56.2%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.