What is the French Defense: St. George Defense expected score for White?
At all ratings, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 51.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 51.4%), based on 509K Lichess games.
509K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 51.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 51.4%), based on 509K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 46% → 35%
Best in Classical (51%), worst in Bullet (48%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The French Defense: St. George Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 509K rated games from Lichess.
The French Defense: St. George Defense performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (110K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (50.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.9%) by 1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.
The French Defense: St. George Defense has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 96K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 124K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 110K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 65K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 34.8% (90% CI: 33.9%-35.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 53 moves with a 34.8% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 48.9% (90% CI: 44.6%-53.1%) win rate for white (374 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.
In Bullet games, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.2%) win rate for white (108K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.
In Blitz games, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.5%) win rate for white (280K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.
In Rapid games, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.3%) win rate for white (115K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.
In Classical games, the French Defense: St. George Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.1%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.
The French Defense: St. George Defense is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.